FRANK BEATEN BY THE LAW OF DIMINISHING RETURNS

CASSANDRA
Dear people at SWM,
Here's a little piece that could just prove timely in the over all scheme of things!
Warmest regards,
Cassandra
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From Cassandra's Desk



it is not often that your humble correspondent chances his hand as he is about to now, but on this occasion he can confidently make the following prediction: Frank Bainimarama's days as dictator of your beloved Fiji are well and truly numbered!

Wishful thinking I hear you say. Another example of Cassandra's hokery-pokery! well, dear readers, please feel free to think what you may.

But first you may wish to ruminate for a brief moment on a well established principle of both science and philosophy known as The Law of Diminishing Returns.

In Frank Bainimarama's case, his returns are diminishing faster then ever and his means of recouping them are becoming weaker and weaker. In short, he is finding himself with now where to go except, perhaps, into history.

Two and a half years ago Frank Bainimarama briefly enjoyed an actual majority in overall public support after seizing power and installing himself as interim Prime Minister. It's what is known in political terms as a strong constituency, but in Frank's case it was destined to be squandered, and oh so quickly!


Sure, it wasn't all rosy for Frank back in 2006. There was outcry, particularly from a vocal domestic minority (mainly lawyers, the media and non-government organizations) and from important democratic neighbours such as New Zealand and Australia.


Yet Frank appeared to have a lot going for him back then, so much so that the wily Mahendra Pal Chaudhry had no qualms signing on as Frank's interim Finance Minister.

But, as we have witnessed, things soon started going downhill, in every possible way, in every possible direction and at an ever-increasing pace.

Inexorably, the law of diminishing returns kicked in and Frank had no way to counter it, except to dig his heels in like an ill-tempered, obstinate mule (or should that be pig?).

Apart from our economy, the first thing to begin diminishing at an alarming rate (at least for Frank) was his credibility.

His initial platform had been cleaning-up corruption but by acting to protect Chaudhry's corruption ad by such greedy, stupid acts as ripping off $180,000 on the patently phony pretext of "unpaid leave" Bainimarama proved that he was as corrupt as they come.

In the beginning, Frank appeared to enjoy almost universal support from the ethnic Indian population of Fiji, but how strong is that constituency today and the economy crumbles and our once great sugar industry heads ignominiously down the gurgler?

Then, there was Frank's personal intervention to featherbed his brother-in-law, the convicted killer Francis Kean, and his mindless promotion of the drooling drummer boy, Neumi Leweni, to the rank of half-colonel, no less!

These two acts have seen the law of diminishing returns hurting Frank's credibility where he needs it most, which is among his own troops.

And now, as he unashamedly oversees the overt manipulation of our judiciary and presides over the worst press censorship this side of Pyongyang, the oafish dictator has decided to take on the Methodist church.

For Frank Bainimarama, the law of diminishing returns is leaving him with less and less support. He is now exposed on all fronts and his back has never been more vulnerable.

Don't forget, dear readers, history shows that the biggest single threat to any tin-pot dictator is other would be tin-pot dictators waiting in the wings.

And just how many of these are luring in the background, ready to pounce like hungry pussy cats?

On his latest count, you humble correspondent can think of at least three.

CASSANDRA

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